The United States enter as deserved favorites, with their 2.54 goals-per-game output and home-tournament momentum exposing a Bosnia-Herzegovina defense that has failed to keep a clean sheet across its last three outings. The 74% BTTS probability reflects Bosnia's attacking threat through their forward line, but their leaky backline—conceding nearly two per game—is the decisive vulnerability driving the projected 2-1 American win. Expect the US to control tempo and capitalize on transitional moments against an opponent that struggles to defend in open phases.