EDGE AI
World Cup
Germany
vs4-5FINAL
Paraguay

Mon, Jun 29, 2026, 11:30 PM

CompletedLast Updated Aug 12, 04:06 PM

Win Probability

Germany68.5%
Draw19.7%
Paraguay11.8%
Confidence53
Model labelMedium
Top score2-0
Goal line2.89

Sportsbook Odds

BookmakerGermanyDrawParaguayO2.5U2.5
1xBet1.415.308.651.722.19
888sport1.334.608.00--
Bet Victor1.335.008.50--
BetAnything1.365.209.60--
Betclic (FR)1.355.1010.00--
Betfair1.385.3010.50--
Betfair Sportsbook1.304.008.50--
Betfred (UK)1.305.008.50--

AI Match Report

EdgeAIAnalysis

Germany's prolific attack (3.00 goals per game) collides with a Paraguayan side that has kept clean sheets in 67% of recent outings but mustered just 0.60 goals per match—a profile that points to a low-scoring, one-sided contest rather than a shootout. The decisive factor is Paraguay's toothless attack: with an xG of just 0.74, they lack the firepower to punish even a German defense that has yet to register a clean sheet itself. Expect Germany to control territory and convert their superior chance creation, with the 2-0 scoreline reflecting both their edge and Paraguay's defensive resilience delaying rather than denying the outcome.

Model Consensus

Market odds

Confidence 56
70.6%18.9%10.5%

Elo ratings

Confidence 23
48.6%27.3%24.1%

Recent form

Confidence 40
59.9%23.9%16.1%

Goal model (Dixon-Coles)

Confidence 38
59%23.5%17.5%

EDGE consensus

Confidence 53
68.5%19.7%11.8%
HomeDrawAway

Exact Score

2-0

12.9%

1-0

10.6%

1-1

10.2%

2-1

9.5%

3-0

9.2%

Bookmaker Score Prices

Correct-score prices will appear when bookmakers publish that market.

Goal Line

Expected goals2.89
Over 2.555.1%
Under 2.544.9%
BTTS47.5%

Head to head

World Cup results will appear as the tournament history set grows.

Data Quality

Final result4-5
Match Last UpdatedAug 12, 04:06 PM
Sportsbook odds8 boards
Historical form6 recent matches
Prediction snapshotJun 28, 04:08 PM
Injuries, suspensions, lineups, xGInsufficient data available for reliable analysis.